美國3月個人消費支出物價指數年增4.2% 通膨再降溫
美國商務部轄下 經濟分析局(BEA)公布數據指出,美國3月個人消費支出物價指數(PCE)年增率為4.2%,顯示通膨降溫。
The issue of housing being lagged has gotten a lot of attention. So this version swaps in new rents for all rents. This lowers the 3-month annual rate from 4.9% to 4.2%–not much of a difference anymore. So not much reason to hope housing slowdown will save us on PCE. pic.twitter.com/kptoie51Bn
— Jason Furman (@jasonfurman) April 28, 2023
PCE是美國聯邦準備理事會(Fed)偏好的通膨指標。為對抗通膨,聯準會正考慮於下週再次升息,這次通膨降溫可能使聯準會得以鬆一口氣。
根據經濟分析局數據,美國3月PCE年增4.2%,低於2月時的5.1%,這是自2021年3月以來最低水平,但離聯準會設定的通膨率2%目標仍有一段差距。
We are now officially 5 days out from the Fed meeting.
After today’s PCE inflation data, odds of a 25 bps rate hike next week are at 90%.
Interestingly, odds for another 25 bps rate hike in June are building, up to 28%.
However, at least 2 rate cuts are expected this year.… pic.twitter.com/rQ7lzDeXn5
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 28, 2023
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